Traders see 90% another chance for the Fed to raise 75 basis points in September: FedWatch
The probability of the US Federal Reserve raising interest rates by another 75 basis points at its September meeting rose to 90%, according to CME Group FedWatch Tracker Federal funds futures bets.
That’s higher than last week’s 82% chance of a three-quarter point increase.
FedWatch showed that the chance of a 50 basis point lift now stands at 10%.
– Jie Lee
It will provide North Asian refineries with a full allocation of Saudi crude in October, according to Reuters
At least three refineries in North Asia have been notified by Saudi Aramco that they will supply full contractual quantities of crude in October, Reuters I mentioned quoting people with knowledge of the topic.
In its first reduction in four months, Saudi Arabia lowered its official selling prices for Asian buyers for the month.
Brent crude While futures fell 1.50% to $91.45 a barrel West Texas Intermediate US It fell 1.60% to $85.40 a barrel.
– Lee Ying Shan
A jump in Japan’s travel sector shares after reports of a decline in the group travel base
US to expand curbs on chip, gadget exports to China, Reuters reports
The US Department of Commerce plans to publish new regulations related to restricting exports of chip-making equipment to Chinese factories that produce advanced semiconductors, Reuters reportedaccording to people familiar with the matter.
The rules will be based on messages sent to Kosovo Liberation ArmyAnd the L Research And the Applied materials Earlier this year, when they were told that government-issued licenses would be needed to sell such equipment to buyers who make chips with processes below 14 nanometers.
Sources told Reuters that the new regulations will likely include additional measures against China, adding that they could be changed and published later than expected.
– Jie Lee
Economic advisory cuts growth forecast for New Zealand
Economists in New Zealand Institute of Economic Research It lowered growth forecasts for the country, citing persistently high inflation and interest rates.
They now expect annual GDP growth for 2022-2023 to grow by 2.5%, down from its previous forecast of 2.9%.
GDP for 2023-2024 is now expected to grow by 1%, a sharp decline from its previous 1.9% increase forecast published in June, while the 2024-2025 forecast has been revised to 1.5% from 2.1%.
– Jie Lee
CNBC Pro: Sterling is falling against the dollar. Here’s how low it is, according to the pros
Yen Intervention Probably Not Effective: National Australia Bank
unilateral interference on Japanese Yen of government is unlikely to be effective, according to the National Australia Bank – After officials said over the weekend The government needs to take steps to address the excessive depreciation of the yen.
“if it was [Bank of Japan] Really wants to stop the decline of the Japanese yen, then they need to make changes to their policy very easy, pressure is building,” he wrote in a note on Monday.
The yen was last traded at 142.55 against the dollar.
— Abigail Ng
CNBC Pro: Goldman reveals the ‘good point’ of his favorite oil stocks — and gives 35% up
Oil prices fall on prospects of weak demand
Oil futures fell on demand concerns due to extended Covid measures in parts of China, along with the possibility of continued interest rate hikes globally.
“Oil consumption is particularly sensitive to Covid shutdowns because transportation, the main use of oil, is severely restricted,” CBA analyst Vivek Dhar wrote in a note, adding that China accounted for up to 16% of global oil demand last year.
– Lee Ying Shan
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